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A Nuclear Iran: Avoiding a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy   
    
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Geneva Centre for Security Policy - 09 April, 2012
Author: Marc Finaud

The world is watching, almost passively, the rising tensions between Iran and the West over Tehran’s nuclear programme. Sabre-rattling now includes naval gesticulation in the Strait of Hormuz. Sanctions by the United States and the European Union have been toughened. With a US electoral context more propitious for rhetoric escalation than sober assessments, Israel keeps the military option on the table by invoking a potential “existential threat”. Yet most cool-headed experts warn about the dire consequences of military confrontation in one of the world’s most volatile regions:
 
Syria and WMD: Deepening Uncertainty
Source : Center for defense information  
Date : 2013-06-18
This brief looks at how certain governments have reacted to the charges that Syrian forces recently used chemical weapons against their opponents. The US, for example, has tempered its response...
Iraq Ten Years On
Source : Chatham House  
Date : 2013-05-24
Iraq has historically been one of the cultural, religious and political centres of the Middle East, but today it is in a severely weakened state, and its voice is virtually...
US Goals and Strategies toward the Arab World
Source : Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies  
Date : 2013-05-16
At the outset of his first term, Obama's policy sharply contrasted with his predecessor's geostrategic orientations, particularly on the question of deploying ground troops and using firepower in the Greater...
US-Iranian competition: The Gulf military balance - II
Source : Center for Strategic and International Studies  
Date : 2013-04-23
No single aspect of US and Iranian military competition is potentially more dangerous than the missile and nuclear dimensions, and the possibility Iran will deploy long-range, nuclear-armed missiles....
Syria at the crossroads: U.S. policy and recommendations for the way forward
Source : Baker Institute of Public Policy  
Date : 2013-04-12
This special report by the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University highlights the deepening challenges Syria faces two years on, and provides for the U.S....
The Military Option in the Iranian Nuclear Crisis
Source : Center for Applied Policy Research-Germany  
Date : 2013-03-05
The Iranian nuclear crisis has reached a new peak. An Israeli air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities is more likely than ever. However, such a pre-emptive attack would not only...
Thinking the Unthinkable: The Gulf States and the Prospect of a Nuclear Iran
Source : The Brookings Institution  
Date : 2013-03-05
The issue of Iran has become a central preoccupation for the international community in recent months, thanks to the intersection of the historic changes in the region, an American presidential...
The Syrian civil war: between escalation and intervention
Source : Center for Security Studies  
Date : 2013-02-14
The chances of a negotiated solution for the civil war in Syria are smaller than ever. A further escalation of violence is to be expected, though not all scenarios suggest...
Moving to decision US policy toward Iran
Source : The Washington Institute for Near East Policy  
Date : 2013-02-14
Job one on the international front for the second-term Obama administration is undoubtedly Iran. The threat of Iran going nuclear within eighteen months—combined with a firm U.S. (and Israeli) policy...
Iran huma rights review: Youth
Source : The Foreign Policy Center  
Date : 2013-01-17
The Foreign Policy Centre (FPC) is delighted to publish the first in what we hope will be a developing series of Iran Human Rights Reviews that will bring together the...
Into the Quagmire: Turkey's Frustrated Syria Policy
Source : Chatham House  
Date : 2013-01-17
After a decade of cooperation and closeness with Syria, Turkey’s policy has changed radically as a result of the 2011–12 crisis in Syria. It is now openly calling for the...
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